盛弘股份發布2022年(nian)年(nian)報(bao):2022全年(nian),公(gong)司實(shi)現(xian)營收(shou)15.03億元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)+47.16%;歸(gui)母(mu)凈利2.24億元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)+97.04%;扣(kou)非歸(gui)母(mu)凈利2.13億元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)+111.12%;經營性(xing)凈現(xian)金流2.02億元(yuan),同(tong)比(bi)+90.07%。
其中,2022Q4,公司實現營(ying)(ying)收5.69億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比+56.49%,環(huan)比+47.33%;歸(gui)母凈(jing)利0.93億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比+168.84%,環(huan)比+47.23%;扣非歸(gui)母凈(jing)利0.90億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比+181.22%,環(huan)比+55.92%;經(jing)營(ying)(ying)性凈(jing)現金流0.70億(yi)元(yuan),同(tong)比+34.36%,環(huan)比-13.92%。
投資要點:
2022年全(quan)年電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)(dong)汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)充(chong)(chong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)樁與(yu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)池(chi)化(hua)成業務高(gao)速(su)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長,電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)(dong)汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)充(chong)(chong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)樁成為僅次于電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)質量的第二大業務板塊。2022年電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)(dong)汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)充(chong)(chong)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)樁實現營(ying)收4.26億元,同(tong)(tong)比+116.96%,占營(ying)業收入比重提高(gao)到28.33%,主(zhu)(zhu)要受新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)源(yuan)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)動(dong)(dong)汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)行業政策(ce)及需(xu)求(qiu)的刺激,下(xia)游充(chong)(chong)換電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)運營(ying)企業投資升溫,拉動(dong)(dong)充(chong)(chong)換電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)產品需(xu)求(qiu)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長迅速(su)。電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)池(chi)化(hua)成業務實現營(ying)收2.58億元,同(tong)(tong)比+72.37%,主(zhu)(zhu)要系(xi)鋰電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)池(chi)廠客戶紛(fen)紛(fen)擴充(chong)(chong)各類鋰電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)池(chi)產能(neng)(neng)(neng),電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)池(chi)檢測及化(hua)成設備(bei)需(xu)求(qiu)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)大。電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)(neng)質量實現營(ying)收5.12億元,同(tong)(tong)比+26.69%,主(zhu)(zhu)要系(xi)高(gao)端(duan)新(xin)材料、半(ban)導體(ti)等高(gao)端(duan)裝(zhuang)備(bei)制(zhi)造(zao)業快(kuai)速(su)發展,工業配套電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)源(yuan)產品的需(xu)求(qiu)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加。
電(dian)動汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)(che)充(chong)電(dian)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)與儲(chu)能業(ye)務預期高速(su)增長,有(you)望貢(gong)獻公(gong)司(si)高速(su)增長動力。電(dian)動汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)(che)充(chong)電(dian)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)方面(mian),目前國(guo)(guo)(guo)內外(wai)新(xin)能源汽(qi)(qi)車(che)(che)(che)快速(su)發(fa)展和(he)車(che)(che)(che)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)比偏高,預計將(jiang)繼續(xu)推(tui)動充(chong)電(dian)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)行業(ye)需(xu)求保持高增。截(jie)至2022年(nian)(nian)底,我國(guo)(guo)(guo)存量(liang)車(che)(che)(che)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)比2.5:1,距離2025年(nian)(nian)車(che)(che)(che)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)比2:1的政策目標與1:1的遠(yuan)期理想狀態仍有(you)發(fa)展空(kong)間。同時,歐盟(meng)也(ye)在加速(su)新(xin)能源車(che)(che)(che)發(fa)展和(he)充(chong)電(dian)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)建(jian)設(she),到(dao)2025年(nian)(nian)預計電(dian)動車(che)(che)(che)增加到(dao)1300萬輛左右;美國(guo)(guo)(guo)于2022年(nian)(nian)提出(chu)未來(lai)5年(nian)(nian)內撥款50億美元用于充(chong)電(dian)樁(zhuang)(zhuang)建(jian)設(she)。儲(chu)能方面(mian),隨(sui)著(zhu)國(guo)(guo)(guo)內外(wai)新(xin)能源消納壓力不斷增大(da),全(quan)(quan)球多國(guo)(guo)(guo)儲(chu)能需(xu)求有(you)望迎(ying)來(lai)高速(su)增長。公(gong)司(si)儲(chu)能產品全(quan)(quan)球認證齊全(quan)(quan),儲(chu)能業(ye)務有(you)望受(shou)益(yi)于2023年(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)球大(da)型儲(chu)能需(xu)求多點開花(hua)。
電(dian)能(neng)質(zhi)(zhi)量業(ye)務保持(chi)穩步增(zeng)長(chang),具有深(shen)厚(hou)技(ji)術基礎(chu),始終(zhong)保持(chi)低壓電(dian)能(neng)質(zhi)(zhi)量行業(ye)領(ling)先地(di)位。公司作(zuo)為國內最(zui)早研發生產低壓電(dian)能(neng)質(zhi)(zhi)量產品的企業(ye)之(zhi)一,公司首先將三(san)電(dian)平模塊(kuai)化(hua)技(ji)術運用(yong)于電(dian)能(neng)質(zhi)(zhi)量產品,覆蓋諧波(bo)治理、無(wu)功補償(chang)、地(di)鐵儲能(neng)、電(dian)壓暫(zan)降、保障用(yong)電(dian)安全的工業(ye)UPS等領(ling)域。看好公司在(zai)市場需求和(he)產品方面的挖潛空間,通(tong)過開拓市場和(he)提升(sheng)市占率來保持(chi)業(ye)績增(zeng)長(chang)。
盈利(li)預測和投資評級:公司聚焦新能(neng)(neng)源與工業(ye)配套電(dian)源賽道(dao),以(yi)電(dian)能(neng)(neng)質量、充(chong)換電(dian)、儲能(neng)(neng)以(yi)及電(dian)池化成業(ye)務(wu)為四(si)大主(zhu)線(xian)業(ye)務(wu)。受益于充(chong)電(dian)樁需求(qiu)預期(qi)高(gao)增(zeng)及國內外儲能(neng)(neng)高(gao)景氣度,預計公司2023年和2024年實(shi)現營收24億(yi)(yi)元和36億(yi)(yi)元,歸母凈利(li)3.1億(yi)(yi)元和4.5億(yi)(yi)元,當前股價對應PE為41X、28X,首次覆蓋(gai),給出“增(zeng)持”評級。
風險(xian)提示:充電樁(zhuang)需求不及(ji)預(yu)期(qi);儲能需求不及(ji)預(yu)期(qi);宏(hong)觀經濟下(xia)行(xing)風險(xian);政策變動風險(xian);競爭加劇導致毛利率不及(ji)預(yu)期(qi);應收(shou)賬款未按預(yu)期(qi)收(shou)回(hui);募投項目營收(shou)不及(ji)預(yu)期(qi)。